A Possible, Single
Explanation of the Increase and Flattening or Decreasing of Asthma
These data are limited by the lack of an objective measure of asthma in large populations and the reliance on surveys to elicit symptoms of wheezy breathlessness, which are likely to represent a heterogeneous group of disorders. Questions about lifetime prevalence are subject to serious recall bias, and the usual compromise is to rely on the 12 month period of prevalence in an attempt to capture the intermittent nature of symptoms experienced by most people with asthma, while limiting the recall entailed and avoiding problems with labelling. Trends in the cultural perception and naming of symptoms might explain the trends observed in prevalence studies, and while it remains true that without objective measures we cannot be certain how much is real and how much is artefact it seems unlikely that artefact would completely explain the observed trends.
Any single explanation would need to account for both the rise and fall of the prevalence of asthma.”
A Possible, Single
Explanation of the Increase and Flattening or Decreasing of Asthma
It is my hypothesis that testosterone is involved in asthma. Blacks exhibit more asthma than whites. The testosterone effect may result from exposure to increased testosterone in utero, black women produce more testosterone than white women, or simply increased testosterone in blacks, black men and women produce more testosterone than white men and women. This may be due to a combination of exposure in utero and increased testosterone at puberty. (Please see http://anthropogeny.com/T%20DHEA%20Asthma.htm for more detail.)
It is my hypothesis that the "secular trend," the increase in size and earlier puberty in children is actually caused by an increased percentage of individuals of higher testosterone within the population with time. This effect is probably driven by increased reproduction of women of higher testosterone; hence, this increases exposure of fetuses to higher testosterone. With time, these individuals increase in percentage within a population. Therefore, if testosterone is involved in asthma, asthma will increase with time, also, within a population. (Some say the trend is due to increased calories; increased calories only accelerates reproduction, not cause the trend.)
Ironically, as testosterone increases to levels that are too
high, the testosterone may actually reduce reproduction rates. That is,
too high levels of testosterone reduces sperm count and fertility in
women. (Please see http://anthropogeny.com/birth%20rate%20secular%20trend.htm
for more detail.) It is also my hypothesis that the current decrease in
reproduction rates of certain groups in the
These two hypotheses, based on the same single mechanism, may explain why asthma rates have increased but now show a decline in some countries.